Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 205.642667 238.595409 276.346303 323.060094 379.677217 446.538734 532.159402
2025-09-07 162.311754 204.070927 256.891198 329.634645 428.848738 561.876416 757.987413
2025-09-14 131.571851 174.156402 231.605319 316.614123 442.448230 627.290274 930.138652
2025-09-21 114.417999 157.823498 219.517864 316.407157 470.155296 714.739384 1155.603960
2025-09-28 102.341964 146.150237 211.241784 318.874560 500.508429 811.110373 1423.264423
2025-10-05 96.785851 142.928160 214.517983 339.108026 562.864091 975.256676 1869.426881
2025-10-12 91.755441 139.612737 216.809080 357.590106 625.536288 1155.975441 2419.511412
2025-10-19 83.821903 130.537719 208.221230 355.247049 648.496833 1264.249820 2852.765361
2025-10-26 79.050751 126.043386 206.654594 365.193232 697.354258 1440.237804 3532.660934
2025-11-02 73.971584 120.393190 202.226236 368.749566 733.460705 1597.833289 4243.172665
2025-11-09 69.743651 115.739740 198.953849 373.934296 774.114038 1778.799501 5125.685510
2025-11-16 65.429930 110.464421 193.840928 374.408997 803.965575 1941.566403 6050.039586
2025-11-23 60.917768 104.795133 188.112631 374.548883 838.143413 2143.250751 7327.025035
2025-11-30 57.584566 101.048548 185.836024 382.357682 895.250742 2440.967626 9292.109809
2025-12-07 52.415546 93.220476 174.290866 366.786358 886.339184 2529.471993 10419.276310
2025-12-14 49.212196 88.918050 169.532041 366.539004 920.298223 2778.514687 12652.249668
2025-12-21 46.608203 85.541614 166.309156 369.487483 964.680813 3088.534134 15669.599442
2025-12-28 45.850582 85.835266 171.090639 393.698245 1081.975796 3748.258695 22126.245093
2026-01-04 44.920107 85.659278 174.784509 415.862156 1201.067102 4500.369649 31121.049445
2026-01-11 42.421833 81.891484 169.731483 413.049825 1234.214734 4885.915626 37933.337626
2026-01-18 41.027866 80.388815 169.840259 424.992991 1325.152121 5628.043080 50986.447892
2026-01-25 39.296438 77.977266 167.468950 429.266470 1389.338763 6284.158350 65789.349229
2026-02-01 37.798302 75.954807 165.823993 435.499611 1464.297046 7073.502731 86735.303187